PrizePicks Says a $25 Pack Hit Dylan Harper's $2,880,000 1/1, Leaving Two Debut Patch Chases

PrizePicks says a collector it calls "Cam from Texas" pulled Dylan Harper's 2025-26 Topps Chrome Update NBA Debut Patch Autograph 1/1, graded PSA 9 with a 10 autograph, from a $25 PrizePicks Packs pack, according to its Instagram post on Oct. 29, and that post is the only source for the pull so far. The card sold for $2,880,000 at Fanatics Collect's September Premier auction, and PrizePicks acquired it along with the Cooper Flagg and Kon Knueppel Debut Patch 1/1s for the packs it launched on Oct. 21.

PrizePicks publishes the odds of hitting any Grail, a card it values at $50,000 or more, at 1 in 60 million on a $1 pack and 1 in 2.4 million on the row its table labels $20. There's no $20 pack, and since those odds are exactly 25 times the $1 odds, that row reads as the $25 Silver pack.

PrizePicks doesn't publish odds for a single card, and its own page says both that 10 Grails were in the pool at launch and that there are dozens more. If the count is 10 and every Grail is equally likely, a $25 pack had about a 1 in 8 million shot at one of the three Debut Patch 1/1s before the pull. With Harper gone that becomes about 1 in 10.8 million for Flagg or Knueppel. For comparison, the $1 pack sits at about 1 in 270 million.

I'd rip a $25 pack for the smaller hits and treat the Flagg as a lottery ticket, because if the pool really is dozens deep, those odds only get longer.